The Trump administration is rewriting what it means to "live here," using a regulatory filing so boring that almost nobody noticed it was submitted.


"If you can't deport every immigrant, you can at least remove evidence they exist."

— Catherine Rampell, economics editor at The Bulwark

The title of the filing is deliberately dull: "Decennial Census of the Population of Americans; Proposed Residence Criteria and Proposed Regulations for Demographic Questions." It was posted on an Office of Management and Budget website in late June. It is the kind of bureaucratic notice that vanishes into the ether, unread by anyone outside a narrow circle of data specialists and civil rights lawyers.

But according to a report from The Bulwark published Friday, that filing is the Trojan horse for a plan that could remove millions of immigrants from the official count of the American population. The proposed rule change would rewrite the Census Bureau's definition of "residence" so that people living in the United States without legal status, and potentially legal immigrants as well, would be recategorized as residents of their countries of origin. They would still be physically present. They would still pay taxes, go to school, work, and vote in some local elections. But for the purposes of the census, they would simply not be here.


The stakes of the census are rarely discussed outside of election years, which is precisely why this approach works. The decennial count determines congressional apportionment, the number of House seats each state receives, and the shape of congressional districts. It drives the Electoral College allocation for presidential elections. It is the baseline for distributing trillions of dollars in federal funding across highways, schools, healthcare programs, housing, nutrition assistance, and disaster relief.

Understand the mechanics and the goal becomes clear: redefine "residence" to exclude immigrants, and states with large immigrant populations lose political power and federal dollars. States that lose political power and federal dollars happen to be disproportionately Democratic.


Trump has been trying to manipulate the census since his first term. In 2019, his administration attempted to add a citizenship question to the 2020 Census, claiming it was needed to enforce the Voting Rights Act. The Supreme Court struck it down on procedural grounds, but not before leaked work files from Republican redistricting strategist Thomas Hofeller revealed the real motive. Hofeller had calculated, at the request of Census Bureau political appointees, that using citizen-only data for redistricting would clearly disadvantage Democrats and advantage Republicans and non-Hispanic whites.

Chief Justice John Roberts joined the four liberal justices to reject the question, apparently swayed by the revelation that the administration had lied about its purpose. But the Court never said a citizenship question could never be added. It only said the government needed to do a better job of justifying it. With a 6-3 conservative majority now in place, that door has not been closed.

This time, the administration chose a different path. Rather than adding a question, it is rewriting the rules about who counts as a resident in the first place.


The constitutional text is explicit. Article I, Section 2 of the Constitution requires counting "the whole Number of free Persons" in each state. The Fourteenth Amendment, ratified after the Civil War, reinforced this language: "Representatives shall be apportioned among the several States according to their respective numbers, counting the whole number of persons in each State, excluding Indians not taxed." The framers chose the word "persons" rather than "citizens" deliberately, and the Census Bureau has followed that mandate since 1790.

The existing standard is "usual residence": the place where a person lives or sleeps most of the time, regardless of citizenship or immigration status. The Trump administration's proposed rule would replace that standard with new criteria that sources familiar with the process say are designed to reclassify immigrants as non-residents.

Translation: if the government cannot deport you, it will pretend you were never here at all.


The stealth approach mirrors a broader pattern. On his first day in office, Trump rescinded a Biden-era executive order that had reaffirmed the constitutional requirement to count every person residing in each state for apportionment purposes. In January 2026, Missouri Attorney General Catherine Hanaway filed a lawsuit demanding that the 2020 apportionment be redone to exclude undocumented immigrants, and that the same exclusion be applied to 2030. A similar suit is pending in Louisiana, filed by four Republican state attorneys general.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick testified before the Senate Appropriations Committee on Tuesday that the Census Bureau had not yet decided what questions would appear on the 2030 form. When pressed on citizenship, he acknowledged that citizenship was not a factor in apportionment under the Constitution. But he offered no assurance that the proposed residence criteria would not accomplish the same result through different means.


Thomas A. Saenz, president and general counsel of the Latino civil rights organization MALDEF, drew a direct line between the administration's first term and its second. "Before, they just didn't know how to run the government," Saenz said. "That's still a little true today, but this administration, because of the first experience from the first one, is better. More competent at doing evil, if you will."

The phrase captures something essential. The Hofeller files showed a raw, clumsy attempt at gerrymandering through data. The current effort is more sophisticated: buried in regulatory procedure, disguised as technical guidance, targeting a concept so mundane that no one asks why it is being changed.

Rampell called it "a brilliant idea" in the sense of effective obfuscation. "Residence criteria" sounds like a matter for actuaries and demographers. It is, in fact, a mechanism for quietly erasing people from the body politic.


The filing is only a proposal at this stage. The actual text of the rule change has not been published. Civil rights organizations, state attorneys general, and data advocates are watching, but Rampell's central warning remains: so far, virtually no one has noticed. The public comment period, when it comes, will be critical. The more attention this filing receives, the harder it becomes for the administration to proceed without explanation.

The census is supposed to be the most basic democratic act: counting the people who live here. The Trump administration is spending its second term trying to make millions of those people count as zero.

The question is not whether this is an attack on representation. The question is how many people will pay attention to a regulatory filing about residence criteria before the 2030 census makes it permanent.